Use este identificador para citar ou linkar para este item: http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/13992
Título: Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco
Título(s) alternativo(s): Economic viability and rotation of forestry plantations of candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), under conditions of risk
Autor: Silva, Carolina Souza Jarochinski e
Oliveira, Antonio Donizette de
Coelho Junior, Luiz Moreira
Scolforo, José Roberto Soares
Souza, Álvaro Nogueira de
Palavras-chave: Production cost
Risk analysis
Monte Carlo simulation
Análise de risco
Simulação de Monte Carlo
Custo de produção
Publicador: CERNE
CERNE
Data: 6-Abr-2016
Referência: SILVA, C. S. J. et al. Viabilidade econômica e rotação florestal de plantios de candeia (Eremanthus erythropappus), em condições de risco. Cerne, Lavras, v. 20, n. 1, p. 113-122, jan./mar. 2014.
Outras Identificações : http://www.cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/968
Descrição: The general objective of this paper was studying the economic feasibility and determining the economic rotation of candeia planting at various spacings under risky conditions. The study was conducted from an experimental planting of candeia consisting of four spacings (1.5 x 1.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m and 1.5 x 3.0 m) for which the cash flows related to the different cutting ages were obtained. For the risk analysis the Monte Carlo method was used, its having the Equivalent Annual Value (EAV) as the output variable (output) and as input variables (sources of uncertainty) the probability distributions concerning the price of the seedlings, land and wood, the harvest cost, interest rates and timber production. The simulation constituted in the doing of 50,000 iterations from where the information necessary to the analyses was extracted. It was concluded that the 1.5 x 3.0 m spacing was the most economically viable and presented a lower risk level than the other spacings. The economic rotation was 12, 13, 13 and 15 years for the spacings 1.5 x 3.0 m, 1.5 x 2.5 m, 1.5 x 2.0m and 1.5 x 1.5m, respectively. Information obtained about the economic risks involved in planting candle serve as a tool to aid in making decisions regarding new plantings of this species and also as a basis for future experiments with the same, seeking to improve its culture. 
Idioma: eng
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