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http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/49608| Title: | Tendência do número de casos da tuberculose no estado de Minas Gerais |
| Other Titles: | Trend in the number of cases of tuberculosis in the state of Minas Gerais |
| Keywords: | Análise de intervenção Modelo SARIMA Tuberculose Intervention analysis SARIMA model Tuberculosis |
| Issue Date: | 2021 |
| Publisher: | Centro Universitário Christus (Unichristus) |
| Citation: | FERNANDES, F. A.; VILAS BÔAS, I. A.; FERNANDES, T. J. Tendência do número de casos da tuberculose no estado de Minas Gerais. Journal of Health & Biological Sciences, [S.l.], v. 9, n. 1, p. 1-6, 2021. DOI: 10.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v9i1.3391.p1-6.2021. |
| Abstract: | Objective: to show an analysis of the behavior and forecast of the series referring to confirmed cases of tuberculosis (TB), notified in the information system for notification of diseases in the state of Minas Gerais (MG). Methods: analysis of time series and study of the effect of seasonality, trend and intervention. The data are monthly regarding the number of confirmed cases of tuberculosis, concerning the years 2001 to 2019, which were removed from the DATASUS website. Results: a model SARIMA(1,1,0)(1,0,0)12 was adjusted, the most appropriate being the one that considered the possible interventions in the series. Conclusion: there should not be an increase in the sharp drop in the number of TB cases in MG in 2020. |
| URI: | http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/49608 |
| Appears in Collections: | DEX - Artigos publicados em periódicos |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARTIGO_Tendência do número de casos da tuberculose no estado de Minas Gerais.pdf | 735,58 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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